I think in the current situation there is a very high chance he will get shipped somewhere yes. Whether that is a direct combat zone (mainly Iraq and Afghanistan currently) is hard to say. While what Rasczak says that US troops will "likely always be in Iraq the same way we have had troops in Korea, Japan, Germany, etc for decades" is very probably right, it's also true that the chances of any one soldier being shipped into combat are much lower when there aren't major wars being waged.

... oh and welcome to the forum